Outbacks are not that reliable...
at least not mine...We've driven around for now 100,000 miles with the check engine light on, because 3 separate dealers and one independent garage could not find out why the 4th cylinder would misfire repeatedly. On the last visit it was finally diagnosed as a bad cylinder head or bad valves...either way $2200! No help from Subaru even though regional reps were involved from 35k and the fault code has been exactly the same every time. Well, screw it, it still runs (slow as ****, but still runs). Wheel bearings at 30,000 miles, oil leak, and some other things (electrical). Only point is Subaru is not bullet-proof either, although I do think, overall, it is a fine brand...just below Honda and Toyota. We just got a sucky one.
The CR bad-reliability is based primarily on '98 Avants and '00 2.7Ts. The allroad is unproven.
I agree, though, with your assessment, Outback is good for 200,000 especially over a short time...just depends on how much you want to spend over 5 years $31k (Outback) or $45k (allroad)...both are going to be worth nothing at the end of 200k.