This rain really needs to stop now!
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
444 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006
NYZ077>081-170945-
NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
444 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
YORK.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING
INTO FRIDAY MORNING....ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THIS WILL
BE A QUICK SHOT OF HEAVY RAIN WITH THE BRUNT OF THE RAINFALL
FALLING IN A PERIOD OF 6 HOURS OR LESS. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
3 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COMBINED WITH A NEARLY SATURATED GROUND
FROM THE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE RAPID
RISE OF SMALL RIVERS...STREAMS AND CREEKS...RESULTING IN LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN POOR
DRAINAGE AND LOW-LYING URBAN AREAS...ESPECIALLY WHERE STORM DRAINS
ARE CLOGGED FROM LEAVES.
SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE STORM WILL INCREASE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WINDS ALOFT WILL ALSO INCREASE. IF ANY
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP SOME OF THESE HIGHER WINDS ALOFT MAY MIX
DOWN TO THE SURFACE. ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY DEVELOP.
EVEN WITHOUT THUNDERSTORMS...LINES OF HEAVY SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE
WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH...WHICH COULD DOWN TREE LIMBS AND
CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS WILL BE ENDING ACROSS THE AREA EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH THE FLOODING THREAT DIMINISHING.
OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.
$$
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Special Weather Statement
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
443 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006
CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ067>081-162130-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
443 AM EST THU NOV 16 2006
...ANOTHER STORM WILL AFFECT THE TRI-STATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE OHIO VALLEY EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TODAY...REACHING THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES THIS EVENING AND THEN EASTERN CANADA BY FRIDAY MORNING. AS
THE STORM LIFTS WELL NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA...IT WILL DRAG A
STRONG TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA TONIGHT INTO
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE FRONT WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
A WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCH RAINFALL IS FORECAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. THIS
WILL BE A QUICK SHOT OF HEAVY RAIN WITH THE BRUNT OF THE RAINFALL
FALLING IN A PERIOD OF 6 HOURS OR LESS. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS
COMBINED WITH A NEARLY SATURATED GROUND FROM THE RAINFALL OVER
THE LAST WEEK WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE RAPID RISE OF SMALL RIVERS...
STREAMS AND CREEKS...RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE TRI-STATE FOR
TONIGHT...EXTENDING INTO FRIDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN
CONNECTICUT.
ACROSS NASSAU AND SUFFOLK COUNTIES...THIS AMOUNT OF RAIN IS NOT
EXPECTED TO CAUSE SERIOUS FLOODING...BUT MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
IN POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY WHERE FALLEN
LEAVES CLOG STORM DRAINS.
IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAINS...SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE STORM
WILL INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WINDS ALOFT WILL
ALSO INCREASE. IF ANY THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP SOME OF THESE HIGHER
WINDS ALOFT MAY MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. ISOLATED WIND GUSTS TO
NEAR 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT MAY DEVELOP. EVEN WITHOUT THUNDERSTORMS...LINES OF HEAVY
SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 45 MPH...WHICH COULD
DOWN TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.
RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.



