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Wax up the sticks!!!!

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Old 12-10-2008, 04:33 PM
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Default Wax up the sticks!!!!

Powder Watch -
December 10 2008
Finally, Snow at Last

Powder alert for Friday to Saturday.

Snowfall in the Cascades has been pretty lean for the last month, as high pressure has blocked most of the storms. It's been a slow start to the season. But recall, last year really didn't get cooking until about a week before Christmas - then it was great for weeks. Weather patterns change fast.

All computer forecast models are showing a major change in the global circulation for the West Coast of North America starting on Friday. By Saturday, cold air will bring the snow level to sea level - a little snow in Seattle is possible Saturday morning.

Friday into early Saturday will see 8"-15" of snowfall in the Cascades. That might be enough for some areas to partially open, given the snowfall of the last couple of days. The weather system will move from north to south, spreading snowfall and dragging in chilly arctic air.

Mission Ridge is open with snow-making, weekends only, right now. They and will receive new fresh snow, especially late Friday into Sunday. A favorable "return flow" of easterly air, which will develop, can often enhance snow on the east slopes of the Cascades.

Snow level will drop from 2000 ft on Friday to near sea level by Saturday morning. All ski areas will get the best dumpage so far this season. And NO rain! Modest to strong winds could be a factor for local snow distribution and uneven areal coverage, as snow will be drifting. That can actually help, as drifts can turn a 12" snowfall into 3ft -- if the drifts end up in the right place - on the slopes or groomed to better locations. The downside is ridges get wind scoured with little accumulation. There may be additional accumulation Saturday and Sunday, mainly central and south Cascades, as the storm moves southward.

By later Saturday and Sunday, we are in for a very cold and dry pattern for about 5- 7 days, as mainly, dry arctic air moves in. The next chance for any significant additional snowfall is sometime after the 19th, maybe in the days before Christmas.

If you do head up, be prepared for winter driving conditions. Some areas may open. Mission is open for weekends.

Here are my specific forecasts for Cascade snowfall from Friday morning to Saturday morning.

Mt Baker: 12-15" (Check website for status, limited weekend opening possible)

Stevens: 12-15" (Check website for status)

The Summit: 15"-18" (Add 1-3" Sat-Sun, check website for staus)

Crystal Mt.: 10-15" (Add 2-5" Sat-Sun) Check website for status, limited weekend opening possible

White Pass: 12"-16" (Add 3-6" Sat - Sun) (Check for status)

Mission Ridge: 5"- 7" (Add 3-6" Sat -Sun) limited weekend opening in progress, check website


Happy Holiday

Larry Schick
Meteorologist
Pubah of Pow

visit www.skiwashington.com<ul><li><a href="http://www.skiwashington.com">www.skiwashington.com</a></li></ul>
Old 12-10-2008, 05:47 PM
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Yay! Pubah of Pow speaks!!
Old 12-10-2008, 07:18 PM
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Make it rain! Bring the fluff!
Old 12-10-2008, 10:45 PM
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Wax up the sticks sounds better than wax up the board.
Old 12-11-2008, 06:38 AM
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Default Meadows MAY open this weekend!

From the <a href="http://www.oregonlive.com/news/oregonian/index.ssf?/base/news/122896951017670.xml&coll=7">Oregonian</a>:

A one-two punch of winter storms are forecast to hit the region this weekend, sending temperatures down and the sale of snow tires up.

Forecasters Wednesday said the frigid temperatures could rival those of January 2004, when snow, ice and sleet storms slowed life in the Portland area to a crawl.

The front edge of the first front should arrive Friday afternoon by way of the Bering Sea, and a second is on tap for Sunday and Monday.

Snow and ice that hits the ground, if any, will likely be locked in place for a while. Another wintry system is forecast for next week.

In the meantime, the impact of the first set of storms will vary depending upon where you are:

Around Portland, snow levels are forecast to dive from 7,000 feet to 1,000 feet by early Saturday, and several inches are possible in places such as the West Hills. Sharply colder air arrives Sunday, with a decent chance of snow at even the lower elevations in Portland. By Monday, the lows could dip into near single digits in the Columbia River Gorge and upper Hood River Valley and the teens in Portland.

At the Oregon coast, ocean swells are likely to increase to around 10 feet early Friday, with large tides accompanied by winds gusting 50 to 70 mph.

Seas could build to 27 feet by late Friday and early Saturday, creating dangerous seas and extremely rough conditions on the Columbia River Bar. Mixed rain and snow is likely on Oregon beaches, where a high wind watch will be in effect all day Friday.

In the Cascades, heavy snow combined with strong winds could produce blizzard conditions Friday night and early Saturday. Bitter cold takes hold Sunday.

<b>On the upside, Mt. Hood Meadows said Wednesday that it may open for skiing Saturday or Sunday, at least on a limited basis. </b>
Old 12-11-2008, 08:28 AM
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thank you jeebus
Old 12-11-2008, 10:47 PM
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Default Re: Wax up the sticks!!!!

Let the season begin!
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